TUESDAY PLAYS
197# ORL x DET OVER 197 @2.00 (1 unit)
198# BUCKS -7 @1.91 (1 unit)
199# CELTICS -2 Halftime @1.926 (1 unit)*
200# PHI x MIL UNDER 195.5 @1.91 (0.5 units)**
OVER 197 at Detroit
The line is set a little too high and that alone caught my attention. Then I saw that initial bettors are playing the under so I was getting more intrigued and decided to study the numbers for this situation.
Average CLOSING TOTAL LINE in the past 10 games between these two teams is 187.4 and now they are setting it at 10 points more??? Detroit scored just 74 points at Orlando (21st November) with 32.9 FG% and again I wonder why did they set the line so high at 197 with -5 for Detroit?? I guess it's pretty obvious that the books expect a performance at least as good as vs the Celtics two days ago. So even if a little risky I'm riding the OVER.
BUCKS -7
Since Jim Boylan replaced Scott Skiles as the head coach the Bucks won five of their last 7 games. They are a different team (special attention to recent performance of Ersan Ilyasova, Brandon Jennings).
Meanwhile, the Sixers have lost seven of their last nine and arrive Milwaukee "broken" after coming back from a 17-point deficit to lead by seven, only to fall back behind and losing by 90-85 vs the Spurs yesterday.
Head to head, the Bucks beat the Sixers by 105-96 on Nov 12 and they are 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings overall.
I'm riding the team with good momentum!
GL all in your plays
*Play added at 5:41pm ET
**Play added at 6:30pm ET
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